Lindsay Corp. develops double bottom before earnings

Lindsay Corp. (LNN) has been on Poor Brother Tom's watchlist since early April, as it was making a run up from a cup with handle breakout in March. Since then, it's continued it's journey upward to a new high a smidge above $131 – a 61% increase above the pivot price near $81!

But the day after reaching its high, LNN sold off sharply, losing close to 13% on 3½ times normal volume. Much of the loss was due to general sector weakness (see MOO chart below), but regardless of the reason, LNN continued a downward until it bounced of its 50-day moving average (DMA). Over the next few weeks, it formed what now looks like a clear second-stage double bottom.

On Friday, the breakout occurred on strong volume. The last couple days, however, it has receded back toward the pivot price.

LNN: 10 June, 2008

MOO: 10 June, 2008

On Monday, Lindsay announced their earnings call for next Wednesday (6/18). The consensus analyst estimate is $1.22, which is a 96% increase over last year. While this looks like a good number, note that it is a significant deceleration in earnings from the previous two quarters (273% and 147%). Nevertheless, if LNN meets or beats expectations, I imagine the stock will rise nicely.

You can rest assured that I will be watching this one over the next week. There is good support near $111, and the 50 DMA is just below that price currently providing even more support. I would strongly consider buying on a dip to either of those levels, and holding through the earnings release. Signals to watch out for would include:

  • Significant dip below 50 DMA (5% or more)
  • Rumors that LNN will miss analyst expectations
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